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بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم

America’s Losses from Signing a Memorandum of Understanding with Iran
(Translated)
Al-Rayah Newspaper - Issue 604 - 17/06/2026
By: Ustadh Asaad Mansour

On 11 June 2026, US President Trump stated, “I don’t know if you heard, but we ended the war with Iran today and they have agreed never to have a nuclear weapon, something that we…we insisted on. That was the whole purpose; that was 95 percent of it, and uh they’ve (the American negotiators) done it in the most powerful way you can do it.” His remarks came hours after he announced American negotiators “have achieved a grand bargain” regarding the war with Iran, and that the Strait of Hormuz will officially reopen immediately upon signing the agreement, which could happen very soon, perhaps at the beginning of the week, in Europe. His vice president may represent America at the signing ceremony.

Meanwhile, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Ismail Baghaei announced that his country “has not yet made a final decision regarding signing an agreement with America, whilst a large part of the negotiating text has been completed.” The Tasnim News Agency, affiliated with the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, commented, “Trump announced the imminent conclusion of an agreement with Iran 38 times in the past two months. His statements should be treated with caution until an official position is issued by Tehran.”

These statements came after Trump’s threats of a major strike. He is known for his unpredictability, and no president has ever lost so much prestige and public trust in him and his country’s position. He has also thrown his administration into disarray, leaving them unable to formulate a consistent stance. The head of state, of any state, does not issue daily, or even hourly, pronouncements on the course of events, negotiations, and military and political actions until the situation has settled into its final form.

On 12 June, 2026, the American news website Axios quoted a US official as saying that the points of the agreement included extending the ceasefire for 60 days, including in Lebanon; resuming nuclear negotiations during this period; immediately reopening the Strait of Hormuz without fees; restoring shipping traffic to pre-war levels within 30 days; lifting the US sanctions on Iran; guaranteeing Iran's commitment not to acquire nuclear weapons; reducing the uranium enrichment level within Iran under the supervision of UN inspectors; granting Iran temporary sanctions waivers allowing it to export oil for 60 days; and gradually easing sanctions if Tehran demonstrates good faith. Washington also insists on releasing Iranian funds in installments to purchase humanitarian goods.

With these points, the US does not consider itself to have achieved its objective, and what will be signed is not a final agreement but rather a memorandum of understanding. What Trump boasts about—preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons—is not an achievement for him, because Iran still adheres to the fatwa of its founder, Khomeini, which prohibits the possession of nuclear weapons. Furthermore, the Strait of Hormuz was already open, and it was due to his aggression that Iran began to control it. Trump wants to show that he has achieved a victory where he has not, turning a blind eye to his main objective in the war, which is to make Iran a subordinate state to the US, but instead a rupture occurred between the US and Iran.

Trump is more eager to sign an agreement than to return to war, even though he constantly threatens war and the launching of harsh strikes. This is a means of pressuring Iran to agree to a deal, and it did, forcing them to concede and sign a Memorandum of Understanding. This is evidence of America’s failure. Negotiations will then begin, with a final agreement expected within two months. However, the process may be lengthy, and an agreement may not be reached within this timeframe, or changes and amendments may occur, as there will be back-and-forth and compromises.

However, Trump wants to extricate himself from the predicament he created, having failed to achieve his primary objective. He doesn’t want to remain fixated on Iran, as it has preoccupied America and prevented him from focusing on other important issues, such as China. He visited China while preoccupied with Iran, focusing on the Iranian issue to pressure it, but China disappointed him. He was unable to focus on other outstanding issues with China, most importantly limiting weapons development, especially intercontinental ballistic missiles with nuclear warheads that threaten America, as well as economic issues, particularly the trade balance, which is heavily in China's favor.  Trump also couldn't address the issue of Russia and its war in Ukraine, nor could he reach agreements that encompass both Russia and its relationship with China.  Furthermore, Trump couldn't address the European issue and his attempts to seize Greenland, in addition to his attempts to annex Canada.

It was as if Trump wanted to achieve a decisive victory over Iran and accomplish his objectives there, just as he had in Panama and Venezuela, to bolster his position on these other issues and facilitate his pursuit of his goals. He hadn’t anticipated that Iran would resist and refuse to become a subordinate state like Venezuela and Panama, thus undermining Russian and Chinese activities in those countries. Trump was deluded by his success in brokering a ceasefire agreement in Gaza, believing himself the only one in the world capable of influencing the Jewish entity. Trump formed a Board of Peace for Gaza comprised of the despicable rulers of Egypt, Turkey, Pakistan, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE, Bahrain, and others. He considered all of this a major success, strutting like a peacock and launching an attack on Iran on 28 February, 2026, aiming to achieve his objective within a few days. However, he encountered a formidable obstacle, creating an Iranian complication that he desperately wanted to resolve so he could move forward with other issues. He feared his self-created complication would become the source of his and his country’s weakness, leading to his party’s defeat in the midterm congressional elections the coming November and, consequently, the Republican candidate’s loss in the presidential elections two years later. Trump has a complex about achieving a better agreement than Obama’s agreement, whilst it is apparent that his agreement is inferior to Obama’s agreement.

Another blow to Trump came with Iran’s refusal to send a delegation for the in-person signing. The agreement will be signed electronically, as Iran does not want its delegation to be seen shaking hands with the American delegation after the signing. Iran considers the Americans enemies, who launched an aggression against it, assassinating its Supreme Leader and other prominent figures. Iran does not want to appear to have reconciled with them and submitted to their humiliating demands.

Trump was keen to sign the agreement on 14 June 2026, because it coincides with his 80th birthday. Iran is aware of his desire to do so, which is why it did not confirm that the signing would take place on that date, as stated by its Foreign Ministry spokesperson. Iran does not want to please him in order to either retaliate, or extract concessions from him.

Trump’s servant, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, confirmed via the X platform on 13 June that, “We are closer to a peace deal than ever before. With finalisation likely expected in the next 24 hours, Pakistan is preparing for the electronic signing of the peace deal immediately after, followed by technical level talks next week.”

This reveals America’s true nature: whoever stands firm against it, regardless of the weapons America uses and the damage it inflicts, can defeat America. This should encourage people to take action and demand the closure of its bases in the region so that America’s military presence is ended, and to pave the way for the elimination of its political influence by overthrowing its despicable servants, and to pave the way for the establishment of the Khilafah Rashidah (Rightly Guided Caliphate) that will break the nose of America’s president, his conceit and his decision, in the manner of his predecessors, the Roman emperors, whose noses were broken yesterday by the Khilafah (Caliphate).

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